Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 0.001225 0.001327 0.001435 0.001561 0.001703 0.001858 0.002041
2025-11-30 0.001084 0.001219 0.001372 0.001559 0.001784 0.002047 0.002383
2025-12-07 0.000979 0.001128 0.001302 0.001523 0.001800 0.002141 0.002601
2025-12-14 0.000908 0.001066 0.001256 0.001505 0.001829 0.002244 0.002831
2025-12-21 0.000841 0.001002 0.001201 0.001468 0.001825 0.002299 0.002998
2025-12-28 0.000760 0.000916 0.001110 0.001376 0.001739 0.002232 0.002983
2026-01-04 0.000705 0.000857 0.001050 0.001319 0.001694 0.002216 0.003035
2026-01-11 0.000669 0.000823 0.001020 0.001299 0.001697 0.002266 0.003188
2026-01-18 0.000643 0.000798 0.001000 0.001292 0.001716 0.002339 0.003384
2026-01-25 0.000706 0.000895 0.001150 0.001531 0.002115 0.003025 0.004682
2026-02-01 0.000662 0.000845 0.001093 0.001469 0.002051 0.002978 0.004704
2026-02-08 0.000625 0.000801 0.001043 0.001414 0.001995 0.002936 0.004732
2026-02-15 0.000609 0.000790 0.001043 0.001439 0.002079 0.003154 0.005319
2026-02-22 0.000585 0.000768 0.001025 0.001437 0.002120 0.003306 0.005815
2026-03-01 0.000556 0.000735 0.000991 0.001405 0.002106 0.003356 0.006109
2026-03-08 0.000534 0.000711 0.000967 0.001389 0.002117 0.003453 0.006524
2026-03-15 0.000509 0.000681 0.000934 0.001355 0.002095 0.003483 0.006791
2026-03-22 0.000473 0.000636 0.000874 0.001273 0.001978 0.003315 0.006547
2026-03-29 0.000448 0.000604 0.000834 0.001222 0.001915 0.003249 0.006549
2026-04-05 0.000432 0.000585 0.000814 0.001204 0.001911 0.003302 0.006869
2026-04-12 0.000419 0.000572 0.000801 0.001197 0.001928 0.003401 0.007333
2026-04-19 0.000456 0.000634 0.000912 0.001412 0.002394 0.004561 0.011334
2026-04-26 0.000433 0.000605 0.000872 0.001356 0.002314 0.004452 0.011273